Nyheder om dansk og international svømning

Hvad kræver det at vinde OL medaljer i 2020?

29. juli 2017, AF Jon Langberg

Joshua Neuloh, og hans hold af eksperter, har forudsagt hvad det kræver at vinde guld i Tokyo 2020 - og hvad det kræver at komme på podiet, i finalen og i semifinalen. Du kan se alle forudsigelserne i den vedhæftede fil under nyheden.

Joshua lykkedes med at komme rigtig tæt på medaljer og kvalifikationer ved OL i Rio, og tabellen giver således et godt billede af hvad det kræver - brugbar viden hvis man vil vide hvad man skal træne i mod de næste tre år.

Tokyo Olympics 2020: Predictions for swim events

Following the successful SwimnexTM table 2016 which predicted the 200m freestyle race by Katie Ledecky with a difference of 1/100 of a second or forecast the medals in the 100m backstroke women by an average error of just 0.1%, prognostications have now been published for the Tokyo Olympics 2020.

Joshua Neuloh and a team of experts managed this time to recalculate over 40.000 individual races, over 1600 relay performances and over 600.000 calculations in addition to 1248 new races from the Rio Olympics in just six month and create a new SwimnexTM table. The SwimnexTM table is based on a mathematical algorithm predicting future performances at the Tokyo Olympics 2020.

Combining cutting-edge science with practical knowledge from the pool deck, the SwimnexTM table answers the question, which will be on everyone ́s mind for the next four years. What makes it into the semi final, final, win a medal or leave everyone behind at the Tokyo Olympics?

The SwimnexTM table shows the required estimated minimum time to reach the respective stage at the 2020 Olympics, including individual races and relays. Although the SwimnexTM table is regularly updated based on past results and other covariates (technical aids etc.), the estimation is very robust close to the actual event. Only in the case of outstanding individual performances the algorithm alters accordingly. Overall, it determines the progress of swimming performances within a standard range of probability.

The SwimnexTM table is provided to coaches and their swimmers, national head coaches and everyone else, who wants to know the first event at the Tokyo Olympics 2020 marked with “World Record”.

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